Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.121251 1.346086 1.583727 1.851782 2.143989 2.451273 2.797277
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.813014 1.120078 1.467900 1.883210 2.358468 2.879072 3.486477
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.638228 0.979522 1.386614 1.892093 2.488900 3.159118 3.957421
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.473276 0.822460 1.263273 1.832998 2.526385 3.323323 4.290427
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.350855 0.695944 1.157313 1.776522 2.550876 3.458824 4.577971
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.264652 0.602710 1.081077 1.745843 2.597303 3.612799 4.880868
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.214850 0.553769 1.057088 1.776272 2.714532 3.847898 5.276696
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.168752 0.501063 1.021121 1.785699 2.801488 4.043697 5.623952
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.122586 0.436742 0.960526 1.755835 2.833634 4.169077 5.884139
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.111997 0.437827 0.997930 1.861053 3.041139 4.511738 6.408140
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.102648 0.439347 1.035031 1.965445 3.247662 4.853696 6.932252
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.097287 0.448329 1.083654 2.086311 3.476410 5.224241 7.492429
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.087426 0.447905 1.121141 2.198531 3.704183 5.606849 8.084701
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068430 0.420276 1.111663 2.242252 3.841470 5.877682 8.543419
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.048758 0.382036 1.079379 2.248786 3.925774 6.079087 8.914563
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.027194 0.323084 1.003339 2.184692 3.910315 6.150815 9.123487
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012778 0.270954 0.931794 2.121818 3.892317 6.216101 9.321772
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.005227 0.233248 0.881760 2.088003 3.911174 6.326004 9.572930
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002468 0.217499 0.874464 2.121636 4.024987 6.559933 9.980722
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000608 0.196976 0.854025 2.132087 4.104654 6.748464 10.330927
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.167757 0.809211 2.099027 4.119578 6.850115 10.569871
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.175386 0.851985 2.215381 4.353211 7.243730 11.182736
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.182593 0.893882 2.330552 4.585599 7.636328 11.795167